September 10, 2008
Election Projection.
For your U.S. election forecast needs: Electoral-vote, Fivethirtyeight, Pollster.
-
I'm still waiting for the halloween mask sales figures.
-
If you want to have fun playing around with different scenarios, here is a clickable map.
-
I'd like to see an electoral projection change projection. In other words, a breakdown on plausible scenarios that could swing the balance significantly.
-
Poll Madness: McCain Takes Lead Even As Democrats Out-Register Republicans?
-
Princeton Election Consortium: A first draft of electoral history. Meta-analysis of polls.
-
Who is supporting McCain? I haven't met any of these people
-
I have been a faithful reader of Electoral-vote.com since the 2000 election, but have recently added 538 after finding it via StumbleUpon. Now I will go check out Pollster. I do have to say, though, trying to twig out any real meaning of polls that update every day is close to meaningless. It's only when you take the broader look and see the trends that they take on importance, and it's next to impossible to predict political trends because there's so many intervening variables waiting to happen.
-
I think i made a bet with the Cap'n that Hilary would win.
-
Of the three linked above, I'm liking Pollster's "Election Night" version the best. It's neat to see how they're going to show how the different networks call it across the board...